This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.
If a pattern survives a rolling-mean treatment it is worth explaining. Most do not, and that is the useful finding.
A modest claim, modestly supported.
I read post #31 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.
A single scale used throughout beats a more accurate scale introduced halfway through. Consistency beats accuracy for a trend.
On reflection I would soften that slightly.
That is a cleaner way of putting what I was circling around.
Rate of change matters more than the absolute number for most of the questions people ask about their own series.
It is the sort of thing that seems obvious in retrospect and was not at the time.
Building on post #35 rather than restating it.
Nothing here is medical advice and a progress report is a description of what happened to one person under uncontrolled conditions.
The evidence for this is thinner than the way I have phrased it suggests.
Everything in post #35 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.
Maintenance series are the ones this subcategory needs most and receives least. The interesting questions all change once loss stops.
Seasonal patterns: some people report weight loss is slower in winter than summer. Body composition and activity changes might contribute. Noting the season is useful context.
Everything in post #38 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.
Comparing your trajectory to a trial mean is comparing an individual to an average of a selected population, and the spread around that mean is wide.
If a pattern survives a rolling-mean treatment it is worth explaining. Most do not, and that is the useful finding.
Reporting the observation and leaving the explanation open deliberately.
Useful. I had the fact and not the reason, which turns out to be the important half.
Answering the question post #42 raises rather than the one it answers.
A single scale used throughout beats a more accurate scale introduced halfway through. Consistency beats accuracy for a trend.
This is the version I would want a new member to read first.
Seasonal patterns: some people report weight loss is slower in winter than summer. Body composition and activity changes might contribute. Noting the season is useful context.
Adding the caveat now so it does not have to be extracted later.
Self-reported intake is optimistic in a consistent direction, and saying so in your own report is more credible than not.
Noting that I have skin in this question and have tried to discount for it.
Post #49 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one.
The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence.
Maintenance series are the ones this subcategory needs most and receives least. The interesting questions all change once loss stops.
Confirming post #53 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person.
The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence.
I have changed my mind on this once already, so take it as current rather than settled.
Self-reported intake is optimistic in a consistent direction, and saying so in your own report is more credible than not.
Where I part company with post #53, and it is a narrow parting.
Rate of change matters more than the absolute number for most of the questions people ask about their own series.
That holds under the stated conditions and I have stated them.
Maintenance series are the ones this subcategory needs most and receives least. The interesting questions all change once loss stops.
That holds for the case as described. Change the assumptions and it may not.
This follows post #57 rather than contradicting it.
Nothing here is medical advice and a progress report is a description of what happened to one person under uncontrolled conditions.
I would be interested in a counterexample if anyone has one.