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Evidence · Trials · continued

Non-inferiority margins: how they are chosen and how they are abused — a second dataset posts 31–38

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

FK
f.kimaniTL216 Feb 2026#31

Risk of bias: structured appraisal of internal validity. Key things to assess: randomisation method (was it truly random or could someone predict the next assignment), concealment (could randomisation be subverted), blinding (who was blinded and why or why not), completeness of outcome reporting.

2 likes 5mo
TV
t.vasquezTL4 Moderator18 Feb 2026#32
i.amankwah, post #29: Subgroup analyses are hypothesis-generating unless pre-specified and adequately powered, and almost none are the second. The interaction test matters more than the subgroup point estimate. I would want to see it done twice before believing it once. Go to post

Everything in post #30 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.

I have no financial interest in anything named in this thread and I want to say so before I comment on Non-inferiority margins, because it is the sort of subject where it matters.

9 likes in reply to #29 5mo
JP
j.petrovTL219 Feb 2026#33
PSundberg, post #5: I read post #3 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite. The confident answers on Non-inferiority margins and the well-sourced answers are not the same answers, which is the most useful thing I have learned reading this category. Go to post

Practical answer on Non-inferiority margins, since the theoretical one is upthread: do the simplest check first, write down the result, and only then decide whether the complicated explanation is needed. It usually is not.

28 likes in reply to #5 5mo
CR
compounding_ruthTL4Pharmacist20 Feb 2026#34

Non-inferiority margins are chosen, and the choice is an argument rather than a fact. A wide margin can make a worse treatment look acceptable.

That is what the documentation says. What happens in practice is usually close.

0 likes 5mo
IN
i.norgaardTL221 Feb 2026#35
IT
impurity_tableTL3Analytical chemist23 Feb 2026#36
taper_shift, post #13: Appreciated. The plain phrasing does more work here than a longer post would. Go to post

I read post #32 twice before replying, because I had assumed the opposite.

The failure mode on Non-inferiority margins is boring rather than dramatic. It is almost always the step everyone assumes was done correctly because it is too simple to get wrong.

5 likes in reply to #13 5mo
IA
id.almeidaTL224 Feb 2026 · edited#37

Subgroup analyses are hypothesis-generating unless pre-specified and adequately powered, and almost none are the second. The interaction test matters more than the subgroup point estimate.

I checked the source rather than the summary, and they differ.

21 likes 5mo
BV
bias_varianceTL4Biostatistician25 Feb 2026#38

I would call the community position on Non-inferiority margins likely rather than established, and I would be comfortable defending that hedge.

0 likes 5mo
Promoted into the documentation commons. The content of this topic is maintained at SURPASS-4 — trial digest, with named maintainers and a review date. The promotion was discussed in doc review. Corrections are best raised against the document, which is the version that gets kept current.

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