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Access · Shortages · continued

Substitution between formats during a shortage posts 31–60

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.

DY
d.yilmazTL231 Jul 2025#31
d.nilsen, post #27: Taking post #24 at face value and following it one step further. Where a shortage forces a gap, the pharmacokinetics mean a missed week is a perturbation rather than a reset, which is worth knowing. It is one reading of the data and not the only reasonable one. Go to post

The documentation on substitution between formats is better than this thread and I say that as someone who has posted in the thread.

32 likes in reply to #27 12mo
AW
a.westergaardTL3Regular2 Aug 2025#32

That is a cleaner way of putting what I was circling around.

17 likes 12mo
CF
c.falkTL24 Aug 2025#33

Where I part company with post #29, and it is a narrow parting.

Allocation and rationing: during severe shortages, suppliers might ration allocation to prescribers. Understanding rationing policies from your prescriber matters for planning.

Written quickly, so the reasoning may be tighter than the wording.

6 likes 12mo
SE
septum_entryTL2Member6 Aug 2025#34

Supply interruptions: official shortage notices are published by regulatory agencies. That is the correct primary source rather than pharmacy rumors or forum discussion.

Noting that the question and the thing people usually mean by it are different.

1 like 12mo
NN
n.nybergTL27 Aug 2025#35
d.nilsen, post #27: Taking post #24 at face value and following it one step further. Where a shortage forces a gap, the pharmacokinetics mean a missed week is a perturbation rather than a reset, which is worth knowing. It is one reading of the data and not the only reasonable one. Go to post

International supply chains: a shortage in one country does not mean shortage in another. That is why ordering from multiple suppliers before a shortage gets bad is prudent if you can.

Two people can read the same figure differently here and both be reasonable.

0 likes in reply to #27 12mo
CL
c.lundgrenTL29 Aug 2025#36
f.danquah, post #20: Confirming post #19 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person. What I want from this substitution between formats thread is the list of things that would need to be true for the claim to hold. If we can write that list, we can check it. Go to post

Second-hand on substitution between formats, so weight it accordingly — someone whose method I trust told me this and I have not verified it myself.

23 likes in reply to #20 12mo
HE
h.eriksenTL211 Aug 2025#37

Post #33 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it.

Something worth flagging about substitution between formats: the strongest-sounding claims in this thread are the ones with no source attached, which is the usual pattern and not a coincidence.

11 likes 12mo
ZL
z.laurentTL213 Aug 2025#38
DO
dr_okonkwoTL4 Moderator15 Aug 2025#39

No disagreement from me. Posting only so the question does not look ignored.

17 likes 11mo
CG
c.grimaldiTL217 Aug 2025#40

Compounding during shortages: some jurisdictions allow pharmacy compounding when a marketed product is in shortage. That permission is jurisdiction-specific and time-limited (usually for the duration of the shortage).

None of the above is medical advice and I am not qualified to give any.

7 likes 11mo
DB
d.barrosTL218 Aug 2025#41
a.molnar, post #4: Coming back to the opening post, because the follow-up matters more than the original answer. A shortage of one presentation is not a shortage of all of them, and the published notices are specific about which. Anyone with a larger sample, please post it. Go to post

Shortage predictions: regulators and suppliers issue shortage alerts before they become acute. Checking the regulatory website for shortages gives you advance notice.

I keep a log of this specifically because memory is unreliable about it.

0 likes in reply to #4 11mo
NP
n.petrovTL220 Aug 2025#42

Post #40 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one.

Substitution between formats is well covered in the tag pages, and the older discussions are better than the recent ones because they were argued out properly. Worth twenty minutes before adding to this one.

1 like 11mo
AS
a.silvaTL222 Aug 2025#43

Confirming post #42 from a second method, which matters more than confirming it from a second person.

Allocation and rationing: during severe shortages, suppliers might ration allocation to prescribers. Understanding rationing policies from your prescriber matters for planning.

I would want the raw data before agreeing with my own summary of it.

10 likes 11mo
MI
m.ivaturiTL224 Aug 2025#44

This is the answer, and the reason it is the answer is the more useful part.

22 likes 11mo
SC
so.cardosoTL226 Aug 2025#45
a.westergaard, post #9: Switching presentation or strength during a shortage is a prescribing decision rather than a substitution anybody should improvise. Go to post

Picking up post #42: that is the part I would want checked first.

Manufacturer allocation decisions during a shortage are commercial and are rarely explained, which is frustrating and is not evidence of anything.

The short answer was in the first line; everything after is the working.

31 likes in reply to #9 11mo
VB
va.baptistaTL227 Aug 2025#46
r.venkatesan, post #19: I had written a reply contradicting post #15 and deleted it. Here is what survived. The thing about substitution between formats that took me longest to accept is that a plausible mechanism is not evidence of an effect. It is a reason to look, not a result. Go to post

On post #45 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

A shortage of one presentation is not a shortage of all of them, and the published notices are specific about which.

I have seen it go both ways, which is why I hedge.

0 likes in reply to #19 11mo
BN
b.nilsenTL229 Aug 2025#47

Agreed on substitution between formats, with one qualification that I think matters. The reasoning holds for the case as described. Change the starting assumption and it does not, and the starting assumption is the part nobody states.

6 likes 11mo
SD
s.dziedzicTL231 Aug 2025#48

Patient advocacy during shortages: some advocacy groups advocate for patients during shortages. Knowing who they are and following their communication is useful.

16 likes 11mo
CR
compounding_ruthTL4Pharmacist2 Sep 2025#49
n.petrov, post #42: Post #40 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one. Substitution between formats is well covered in the tag pages, and the older discussions are better than the recent ones because they were argued out properly. Worth twenty minutes before adding to this one. Go to post

This follows post #46 rather than contradicting it.

Nothing here is medical advice, and decisions about what to do during a supply interruption belong with a prescriber.

I am describing what is, rather than arguing for what should be.

23 likes in reply to #42 11mo
HD
h.delgadoTL23 Sep 2025#50
cohort_watch, post #5: Adding the measurement that post #2 says would settle it. Two claims get bundled together under substitution between formats and they need separating. The descriptive one — this is what was observed — is usually well supported. The causal one — this is why — usually is not. Almost every disagreement in threads like this one dissolves… Go to post

The published shortage register maintained by the national regulator is the authoritative source here, and it is updated far more often than any thread.

0 likes in reply to #5 11mo
FK
f.kimaniTL25 Sep 2025#51

On post #47 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.

Substitution between formats would be much easier to settle if anyone reported the denominator. Almost nobody reports the denominator.

29 likes 11mo
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z.onwukaTL27 Sep 2025#52

Planning around a known shortage window is easier than reacting to one, and the notices give advance warning more often than people expect.

15 likes 11mo
JP
j.petrovTL28 Sep 2025#53
r.ilunga, post #21: Planning around a known shortage window is easier than reacting to one, and the notices give advance warning more often than people expect. Go to post

Switching presentation or strength during a shortage is a prescribing decision rather than a substitution anybody should improvise.

3 likes in reply to #21 11mo
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t.vasquezTL4 Moderator10 Sep 2025#54
d.yilmaz, post #10: Shortage predictions: regulators and suppliers issue shortage alerts before they become acute. Checking the regulatory website for shortages gives you advance notice. That is my reading. Someone else read the same page differently and was reasonable. Go to post

Both are useful and different. The notice tells you the national position; the account tells you what is happening on the ground.

I checked the source rather than the summary, and they differ.

0 likes in reply to #10 11mo
CD
c.dahlbergTL212 Sep 2025 · edited#55

Worth separating two things that post #51 runs together.

A note on scope: what I am saying about substitution between formats applies to the case in the first post and I would not extend it further without checking.

0 likes 10mo
IC
i.coelhoTL213 Sep 2025#56

This follows post #55 rather than contradicting it.

Where the substitution between formats reasoning breaks down for me is the step from the group result to the individual case. That step is almost never argued for.

21 likes 10mo
MR
m.rasmussenTL215 Sep 2025#57
integrator_trace, post #17: That is consistent with mine, for whatever one more account is worth. Go to post

Supply interruptions: official shortage notices are published by regulatory agencies. That is the correct primary source rather than pharmacy rumors or forum discussion.

5 likes in reply to #17 10mo
JB
j.baptistaTL217 Sep 2025#58

Pharmacy-level availability varies enormously during a shortage, so two honest accounts from the same city can be opposite.

0 likes 10mo
DF
d.ferreiraTL218 Sep 2025#59

Managing an unplanned gap: if a shortage causes a gap in treatment, the questions are how long the gap will be and how that affects your condition. Discussing with your clinician is prudent if the gap is weeks or longer.

15 likes 10mo
BV
bias_varianceTL4Biostatistician20 Sep 2025#60
i.coelho, post #56: This follows post #55 rather than contradicting it. Where the substitution between formats reasoning breaks down for me is the step from the group result to the individual case. That step is almost never argued for. Go to post

Taking post #59 at face value and following it one step further.

Shortage-driven price movement is real and is a separate question from availability.

The conclusion is tentative; the arithmetic underneath it is not.

6 likes in reply to #56 10mo