That reframing is the whole thing. The facts I already had.
[2026 update] Composite endpoints and the component doing the work
Absolute numbers, not just relative: a 30% relative reduction tells you the ratio but not the practical magnitude. The event rate in each arm and the difference between them tells you how many people benefit.
It is one reading of the data and not the only reasonable one.
A request rather than an answer: could whoever has the primary source for Composite endpoints post it? I have seen the claim three times this month and each version had lost a qualifier.
On post #18 — agreed on the reasoning, with one qualification.
Absolute numbers, not just relative: a 30% relative reduction tells you the ratio but not the practical magnitude. The event rate in each arm and the difference between them tells you how many people benefit.
Where I part company with post #45, and it is a narrow parting.
Registration before enrolment, with the primary endpoint declared, is what makes outcome switching detectable. Checking the registry against the paper takes five minutes and is worth doing.
One case, stated as one case.
Absolute numbers, not just relative: a 30% relative reduction tells you the ratio but not the practical magnitude. The event rate in each arm and the difference between them tells you how many people benefit.
Filing this under things that are true until someone shows me otherwise.
Adding the measurement that post #59 says would settle it.
I would call the community position on Composite endpoints likely rather than established, and I would be comfortable defending that hedge.
Post #77 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it.
Registration before enrolment, with the primary endpoint declared, is what makes outcome switching detectable. Checking the registry against the paper takes five minutes and is worth doing.
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- [2026 update] Reading a supplementary appendix and finding the interesting partEvidence › Trials · 44 replies
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