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Outcomes · Progress reports · continued

Seven-day rolling means and why weekly readings mislead — one year on posts 31–60

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.

MN
m.ndiayeTL210 Feb 2026#31
dexa_twice_yearly, post #28: Weighing daily and reporting weekly is a better protocol than weighing weekly, because it separates the measurement frequency from the reporting frequency. Go to post

Worth separating two things that post #29 runs together.

A single scale used throughout beats a more accurate scale introduced halfway through. Consistency beats accuracy for a trend.

8 likes in reply to #28 6mo
BP
bench_peakTL3Regular10 Feb 2026#32
g.pemberton_uk, post #22: Longitudinal report with the method stated: same scale, same time of day, same conditions. A scale is a tool; use the same one each time. Consistency matters more than accuracy at capturing absolute weight. Go to post

Rate of change matters more than the absolute number for most of the questions people ask about their own series.

2 likes in reply to #22 5mo
TB
t.batistaTL211 Feb 2026 · edited#33

Seven-day rolling has been discussed here with more heat than it deserves, mostly because two definitions have been in play the whole time.

0 likes 5mo
I
IsaksenTL3Regular11 Feb 2026#34

Post #33 answers the question as asked. The question underneath it is different.

A note on scope: what I am saying about Seven-day rolling applies to the case in the first post and I would not extend it further without checking.

27 likes 5mo
TI
t.ibarraTL211 Feb 2026#35
m.balogun, post #2: Day-to-day body mass varies by more than a kilogram on hydration, glycogen and gut contents alone. A weekly reading is one noisy sample of that distribution. If the premise is wrong, everything after it is decoration. Go to post

The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence.

I have no interest in any supplier named above.

5 likes in reply to #2 5mo
K
KStephanopoulosTL3Regular11 Feb 2026#36

The most useful thing anyone has posted about Seven-day rolling in this category was a table of what had been measured and by whom. That is what I would want again.

0 likes 5mo
HC
h.castellanosTL211 Feb 2026#37

Everything in post #33 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.

Two claims get bundled together under Seven-day rolling and they need separating. The descriptive one — this is what was observed — is usually well supported. The causal one — this is why — usually is not.

Almost every disagreement in threads like this one dissolves once you say which of the two you are making.

0 likes 5mo
FE
footnote_entryTL3Regular11 Feb 2026#38

I will take the caveat as seriously as the claim, which is the point of putting it there.

20 likes 5mo
KK
k.kuuselaTL212 Feb 2026#39
s.balogun, post #6: Distinguishing three things in the Seven-day rolling discussion that keep getting used interchangeably: the observation, the proposed mechanism, and the recommendation that gets attached to both. Go to post

Non-scale victories: muscle gain or maintenance, clothing fit, energy level, and capability (like climbing stairs without breathlessness) are measurements that scale-based weight misses.

This is the sort of thing the wiki should carry and currently does not.

19 likes in reply to #6 5mo
NR
n.rowntreeTL3Regular12 Feb 2026 · edited#40

Trying to state the Seven-day rolling position in a way that someone who disagrees would recognise as fair, because I do not think the version in this thread passes that test.

8 likes 5mo
CB
c.balogunTL212 Feb 2026#41
sleep_log, post #1: On the subject in the title: Seven-day rolling means and why weekly readings mislead — one year on Working notes rather than a conclusion. Asking about Seven-day rolling directly, because I have read four threads on it and each answered a slightly different question. The version I want answered is the narrow one: given the method stated… Go to post

The arithmetic in post #39 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

Filing a mild objection to the consensus on Seven-day rolling. Mild because I might be wrong; an objection because nobody has addressed the case that does not fit.

4 likes in reply to #1 5mo
KF
k.farrugiaTL3Regular12 Feb 2026#42

Answering the question post #40 raises rather than the one it answers.

If a pattern survives a rolling-mean treatment it is worth explaining. Most do not, and that is the useful finding.

12 likes 5mo
NS
n.serranoTL212 Feb 2026#43

Longitudinal report with the method stated: same scale, same time of day, same conditions. A scale is a tool; use the same one each time. Consistency matters more than accuracy at capturing absolute weight.

0 likes 5mo
L
LeitermanTL3Regular12 Feb 2026#44

Nothing here is medical advice and a progress report is a description of what happened to one person under uncontrolled conditions.

A modest claim, modestly supported.

0 likes 5mo
FF
f.fontaineTL213 Feb 2026#45
c.balogun, post #41: The arithmetic in post #39 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check. Filing a mild objection to the consensus on Seven-day rolling. Mild because I might be wrong; an objection because nobody has addressed the case that does not fit. Go to post

Practical experience of Seven-day rolling, offered as one case with the conditions stated, not as a general finding. Conditions first, because they are what make it interpretable.

7 likes in reply to #41 5mo
RM
r.marsdenTL3Regular13 Feb 2026#46

Everything in post #44 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.

I would be cautious about generalising from the Seven-day rolling example above. It is a good example. It is one example.

18 likes 5mo
YE
y.eriksenTL213 Feb 2026 · edited#47

Building on post #46 rather than restating it.

The best progress reports here read as records rather than as arguments, and that difference is visible within a sentence.

0 likes 5mo
P
PSundbergTL2Member13 Feb 2026#48

Seasonal patterns: some people report weight loss is slower in winter than summer. Body composition and activity changes might contribute. Noting the season is useful context.

1 like 5mo
MA
mi.almeidaTL213 Feb 2026#49

An observation about Seven-day rolling that I cannot explain and am posting anyway, on the principle that unexplained observations are more useful public than private.

12 likes 5mo
NT
n.torrenceTL3Regular13 Feb 2026#50
ai.vukovic, post #23: This follows post #20 rather than contradicting it. I would put moderate confidence on the mainstream reading of Seven-day rolling and no more. That is not scepticism for its own sake; it is where the sourcing actually stops. Go to post

Day-to-day body mass varies by more than a kilogram on hydration, glycogen and gut contents alone. A weekly reading is one noisy sample of that distribution.

That is a description of practice, not a recommendation of it.

25 likes in reply to #23 5mo
ME
m.ekstromTL214 Feb 2026#51
f.fontaine, post #45: Practical experience of Seven-day rolling, offered as one case with the conditions stated, not as a general finding. Conditions first, because they are what make it interpretable. Go to post

Answering the question post #47 raises rather than the one it answers.

What I can speak to on Seven-day rolling is narrow, so I will keep it narrow rather than generalising from it. Beyond that boundary I do not know.

20 likes in reply to #45 5mo
ME
m.eriksenTL214 Feb 2026#52

The arithmetic in post #51 is right; the assumption feeding it is the part to check.

Summarising the Seven-day rolling thread so far, since it is long and the answer is buried: the first reply has the method, the fourth has the correction to it, and the rest is people agreeing at length.

8 likes 5mo
HM
h.mensahTL214 Feb 2026 · edited#53

A single scale used throughout beats a more accurate scale introduced halfway through. Consistency beats accuracy for a trend.

That has been true for the cases I have seen and I have not seen many.

0 likes 5mo
LP
l.piresTL214 Feb 2026#54

Adding thanks rather than a view. I do not have a view worth the space.

0 likes 5mo
SB
s.bruunTL214 Feb 2026#55
BD
b.demirTL214 Feb 2026#56

State the method before the numbers. Same scale, same time of day, same conditions — without that a series is a collection of readings rather than a measurement.

I have changed my mind on this once already, so take it as current rather than settled.

5 likes 5mo
MP
mira.patelTL4 Admin15 Feb 2026#57

Adding a reference point for Seven-day rolling. Mine is a single case, collected without controls, and I am posting the method alongside it so it can be discounted appropriately.

0 likes 5mo
GR
g.rasmussenTL215 Feb 2026#58

Menstrual cycle: for people who menstruate, weight can shift by several pounds across the cycle due to fluid retention and other factors. Noting cycle phase when weighing reduces apparent noise.

28 likes 5mo
HR
h.ramosTL215 Feb 2026#59

Practical answer on Seven-day rolling, since the theoretical one is upthread: do the simplest check first, write down the result, and only then decide whether the complicated explanation is needed. It usually is not.

9 likes 5mo
F
FFaulknerTL3Regular15 Feb 2026#60

Self-reported intake is optimistic in a consistent direction, and saying so in your own report is more credible than not.

2 likes 5mo