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Research Methods · Statistics · continued

Sample size intuition for a personal experiment — does this still hold? posts 31–39

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.

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v.malinowskiTL29 Jun 2026#31

On Sample size intuition: the maintained page in the documentation commons covers the general case with citations and a review date, which is more reliable than any reply here including this one.

4 likes 2mo
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NLoughranTL3Regular12 Jun 2026 · edited#32
blank_injection, post #4: The question underneath Sample size intuition is usually "how would I tell?" rather than "what is true?", and that one has a method attached to it. Write down what you would expect to see under each hypothesis before you collect anything. If they predict the same observation, collecting it will not help. Go to post

No notes. Posting so the count is not one.

12 likes in reply to #4 1mo
SD
s.demirTL216 Jun 2026#33

Taking post #31 at face value and following it one step further.

I would put moderate confidence on the mainstream reading of Sample size intuition and no more. That is not scepticism for its own sake; it is where the sourcing actually stops.

26 likes 1mo
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vial_slopeTL3Regular19 Jun 2026#34

A distribution shown is worth ten summary statistics. Where a paper shows individual data points, read those first.

0 likes 1mo
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p.onwukaTL222 Jun 2026#35
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l.aaltonenTL3Regular25 Jun 2026#36
a.westergaard, post #1: Sample size intuition for a personal experiment — does this still hold? I have a specific reason for asking rather than idle curiosity, and the context is below. Reading back through what has been written here about Sample size intuition, three questions come up every time and only one has ever been answered properly. Listing all three,… Go to post

Effect sizes: the magnitude of a difference, not just whether it is statistically significant. A difference that is significant (p<0.05) might be too small to matter. A large effect might not be significant if sample size is small.

Written quickly, so the reasoning may be tighter than the wording.

18 likes in reply to #1 1mo
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k.karlsenTL228 Jun 2026#37

Building on post #36 rather than restating it.

Power and sample size: a study might be too small to detect a real effect (low power). Sample size calculations help determine how many participants are needed to detect an effect of a given magnitude.

I have written this out at length because the short version keeps being misread.

0 likes 29d
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h.nicolaidesTL3Regular2 Jul 2026#38

Post #34 put the caveat in the right place and I want to underline it.

My experience of Sample size intuition contradicts the reply above. I am posting it as a data point rather than as a refutation, because one person's experience is exactly that.

0 likes 26d
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w.moreauTL25 Jul 2026#39
m.amankwah, post #26: The most common statistical error in this community is not technical: it is treating a self-selected collection of reports as a sample from a population. Stating my assumptions rather than smuggling them in. Go to post

Marking my place. If it changes for me I will come back and say so.

0 likes in reply to #26 23d
Moved from N-of-1 designs by dr_okonkwo. Category placement is not obvious from outside and getting it wrong is expected. This topic will get better answers here. The move is recorded in the public log citing R7.

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