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Evidence · Preprints · continued

When a preprint is the best available evidence and we say so posts 151–161

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1 · go to the accepted answer.

AZ
a.zamoraTL27 Sep 2025#151

If you cite a preprint in a maintained document here, the convention is to label it in the sentence and to note the check date. The document review will catch the update.

0 likes 11mo
DT
d.tammTL27 Sep 2025#152
ne.laurent, post #116: Post #114 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction. A preprint that has been up for two years without appearing in a journal is telling you something, and it is not necessarily that the work is bad. A qualification I should have led with rather than closed on. Go to post

Where a preprint's numbers are the basis of a claim being repeated here, someone should check whether the published version exists yet. That check is nearly always overdue.

If anyone has run this properly I would rather read that than my own guess.

1 like in reply to #116 11mo
RG
r.girardTL27 Sep 2025#153

Adding the measurement that post #152 says would settle it.

Preprint sits at the boundary between what this community can usefully discuss and what it cannot, and I think it falls on the discussable side, narrowly.

6 likes 11mo
CS
c.silvaTL28 Sep 2025#154

Post #150 describes the usual case. This is about the unusual one.

Author track record is a weak signal and it is a signal. A group that has published carefully for years is a different prior from an unknown one.

16 likes 11mo
MS
m.stephanopoulosTL3Regular8 Sep 2025#155
v.szabo, post #67: Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier. Go to post

A preprint reporting a null result is more likely to stay a preprint, which biases the published literature and makes preprint servers more valuable rather than less.

Two people can read the same figure differently here and both be reasonable.

32 likes in reply to #67 11mo
NN
n.norgaardTL28 Sep 2025#156
k.roos, post #102: Post #101 is the version of this I will quote in future. One addition. Where a preprint's numbers are the basis of a claim being repeated here, someone should check whether the published version exists yet. That check is nearly always overdue. I am aware this is the third time this month I have made this point. Go to post

Useful. I have added it to my own notes with the date on it.

0 likes in reply to #102 11mo
BP
baseline_peakTL2Member8 Sep 2025 · edited#157

Picking up post #155: that is the part I would want checked first.

Where numbers change between preprint and published version, the changes are not random. They tend toward a smaller effect and a more carefully hedged claim.

3 likes 11mo
BN
b.nwosuTL29 Sep 2025#158

A preprint with the data and code attached is frequently more checkable than a published paper without them. Reviewed and reproducible are different properties.

11 likes 11mo
SO
s.okaforTL29 Sep 2025#159
trough_index, post #119: What changes between preprint and publication: authors respond to reviewer comments, re-analyse data, correct errors found in peer review, and sometimes report different results from updated analyses. The published version is not the same as the preprint. Go to post

Taking post #157 at face value and following it one step further.

On preprint the community has more anecdote than the confidence in this thread implies, and I include my own contribution in that.

24 likes in reply to #119 11mo
LG
lc_gradientTL3Analytical chemist9 Sep 2025#160

Post #158 and I disagree about the size of the effect, not about the direction.

Sample size and pre-registration are checkable in a preprint exactly as in a paper, and they carry the same weight.

0 likes 11mo
I
IsaksenTL3Regular9 Sep 2025#161

Reading back through, this was answered upthread and I missed it. My fault.

15 likes 11mo

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