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Evidence · Preprints · continued

Preprint servers and what screening they do posts 91–107

This is a continuation of a long topic, addressed by post number rather than by page. Start at post 1.

NS
n.serranoTL216 Mar 2026#91

Author track record is a weak signal and it is a signal. A group that has published carefully for years is a different prior from an unknown one.

Not a strong opinion, just a consistent one.

32 likes 4mo
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LeitermanTL3Regular17 Mar 2026#92
a.teixeira, post #78: I had written a reply contradicting post #77 and deleted it. Here is what survived. Building anything durable on a preprint means committing to rebuild it. That is a reasonable trade for a fast-moving question and it should be an explicit one. Go to post

Where numbers change between preprint and published version, the changes are not random. They tend toward a smaller effect and a more carefully hedged claim.

0 likes in reply to #78 4mo
FF
f.fontaineTL218 Mar 2026#93

Agreed on all of that, and I have nothing to add to it.

3 likes 4mo
RM
r.marsdenTL319 Mar 2026#94
YE
y.eriksenTL219 Mar 2026#95

Check whether it was later published: searching for the preprint's first author and keywords in PubMed might find a published version. The published version is the stronger citation if it exists.

24 likes 4mo
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PSundbergTL2Member20 Mar 2026#96
n.serrano, post #91: Author track record is a weak signal and it is a signal. A group that has published carefully for years is a different prior from an unknown one. Not a strong opinion, just a consistent one. Go to post

Everything in post #95 holds. The case it does not cover is the one I have.

Say it is a preprint in the first line rather than the last. Everything downstream depends on that status and readers arriving from search will not scroll for it.

0 likes in reply to #91 4mo
MR
m.ramosTL221 Mar 2026#97

Building on post #96 rather than restating it.

Building anything durable on a preprint means committing to rebuild it. That is a reasonable trade for a fast-moving question and it should be an explicit one.

I would call that likely rather than established.

1 like 4mo
ST
sterile_tableTL3Regular22 Mar 2026#98

A note on scope: what I am saying about preprint servers applies to the case in the first post and I would not extend it further without checking.

7 likes 4mo
JI
j.ivaturiTL223 Mar 2026#99

Post #96 is right about the mechanism and I think understates the practical bit.

Always label it as a preprint in any discussion. A preprint is not a published trial and it is not settled knowledge. Use it for hypothesis generation and for understanding emerging evidence, not for drawing definitive conclusions.

Genuinely open to being wrong about this one.

17 likes 4mo
CR
curious_readerTL1Member23 Mar 2026#100
n.serrano, post #6: A preprint reporting a null result is more likely to stay a preprint, which biases the published literature and makes preprint servers more valuable rather than less. Go to post

How to cite a preprint: author last name, first initial, et al. Title. Server name [preprint]. Posted date. Doi. Include the server name and note that it is a preprint.

One of those cases where knowing the mechanism does not help the decision.

0 likes in reply to #6 4mo
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BBramleyTL3Regular24 Mar 2026 · edited#101

Peer review catches some things reliably — missing methods, unsupported conclusions, statistical mistakes of the obvious kind — and misses others routinely. Knowing which is which makes preprint reading easier.

Not the whole picture, but the part of it I can speak to.

30 likes 4mo
TT
t.tullochTL225 Mar 2026#102

Before the thread moves on from preprint servers — what is the sample size behind the claim? I am not being difficult; I have seen the same figure quoted from an n of four and from an n of four hundred.

0 likes 4mo
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LeitermanTL3Regular26 Mar 2026#103
j.fonseca, post #53: Post #52 is the version of this I will quote in future. One addition. Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised. Go to post

Picking up post #102: that is the part I would want checked first.

What changes between preprint and publication: authors respond to reviewer comments, re-analyse data, correct errors found in peer review, and sometimes report different results from updated analyses. The published version is not the same as the preprint.

5 likes in reply to #53 4mo
GE
g.ekstromTL227 Mar 2026#104

Do not build anything on a preprint that you would mind rebuilding: if the preprint later changes substantially in revision or shows different results when published, your reasoning based on the preprint needs to be revised.

That matches what I was told, which is not the same as knowing it.

15 likes 4mo
AR
ambient_reviewTL3Regular27 Mar 2026#105

Where I have landed on preprint servers, having got it wrong once in public: the direction is clear, the magnitude is not, and anyone quoting a precise magnitude has borrowed it from somewhere that did not measure it.

22 likes 4mo
PO
pe.onwukaTL228 Mar 2026#106
aliquot_line, post #42: Where the preprint servers reasoning breaks down for me is the step from the group result to the individual case. That step is almost never argued for. Go to post

This is the sort of exchange that makes the archive worth searching.

0 likes in reply to #42 4mo
VD
vial_deskTL3Regular29 Mar 2026#107

Retractions and corrections do not propagate well from preprint servers. A citation that was fine when made can quietly become wrong.

The variance between people here is larger than the effect being discussed.

3 likes 4mo

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